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Last week’s election was bad for Democrats. The next one could be worse.
Senate Democrats running in 2012 will be trying to hold their jobs in states where Republicans just scored major congressional and gubernatorial victories — Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, New Mexico and Virginia.
The Democrats’ problems don’t end with senators.
In just a week Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland has sliced 4 points from GOP challenger John Kasich‘s lead in the poll that has consistently showed the Republican John Kasich with a healthy margin.
Today’s Quinnipiac Poll is the latest that shows Ohio’s race for governor tightening as Election Day approaches. Kasich is ahead 49 percent to 43 percent; the 6-point margin is down from 10 a week ago, when it was 51-41. And 7 percent of Ohio voters say they remain undecided.
Dennis Kucinich image via Wikipedia
The poll (based on a small but respectable 319 person sample, with a margin of error of 5.6 percent, weighted to eliminate gender bias) shows Kucinich ahead of his opponent, Peter Corrigan, by only 4 percent. The profile of undecided voters suggests they may break for Corrigan by about 3-2. And Corrigan’s 4 percent deficit turns into a 4 percent Corrigan lead when voters are given information on Kucinich’s ties to corrupt local Democratic leaders, and on Kucinich’s support for illegal immigration. These are signs that undecided voters could be pushed to go Corrigan’s way. Furthermore, Corrigan is running even with Kucinich among those who’ve already requested their absentee ballot, as early voting has already started in Ohio.
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John Kasich, who is challenging incumbent Democrat Ted Strickland, now leads by a margin of 51 to 43 percent, according to the poll sponsored by the University of Cincinnati.
Republican Rob Portman has widened his double-digit lead over Lee Fisher in the race for the open Senate seat from the state of Ohio.
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In an election for US House of Representatives from Ohio’s 1st Congressional District today, just as early voting begins, Republican Steve Chabot is positioned to re-take from Democrat Steve Driehaus the seat in Congress Chabot held for 7 terms before losing it to Driehaus in 2008, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for the Cincinnati Enquirer.
It’s Chabot 53%, Driehaus 41%, in interviews conducted 09/28/10 and 09/29/10 and released today, 09/30/10, one month till votes are counted. Voters who are enthusiastic vote 2:1 Republican. Voters who cast a ballot with less enthusiasm than in previous years vote 2:1 Democrat.
Image via WikipediaRepublican Rob Portman, a senior official under former President George W. Bush, has opened a commanding 13-point lead over his Democratic rival in a Senate race in Ohio, a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Tuesday said.
Portman, budget director and U.S. trade representative in Bush’s administration, leads Democrat Lee Fisher 50 percent to 37 percent barely more than one month before the November 2 congressional election.
Ohio Survey of 500 Likely Voters
December 7, 2009
Source: Rasmussen Reports