Clinching Nomination Early May be McCain Secret Weapon

An analysis of the Nomination Gap data presented shows that there is a fairly strong relationship between what he labels the Nomination Gap and the results of recent presidential elections. For the ten presidential elections that he includes in his article, the correlation between the vote for the president’s party and the Nomination Gap is .60 (I recoded the “nomination gap” variable so that its direction was consistent with party control of the presidency).
Rasmussen Reports

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