Why Anna Little Can Finally rid New Jersey of Frank Pallone

Christie beat Corzine by 15.5 points in this seemingly overwhelming Democrat district.That was a year ago, when the anti-Democrat intensity was not nearly as high as it is today.
Also, Christie only won by 4 pts, so it is not like someone could blame it on an overwhelming victory that drastically changed voting patterns. Despite Christie’s popularity today, it was a very close election in 2009.

Towns in 6th District won by Christie

Aberdeen
Allenhurst
Atlantic Highlands
Avon-by-the-Sea
Belmar
Bradley Beach
DealDunellen
Edison (Strong Democrat town)
Hazlet
HighlandsKeyport
Interlaken
Lake Como
Loch Arbour
Manalapan
Marlboro
MatawanMiddlesex
Middletown
Monmouth Beach
Neptune City
Ocean
Old Bridge

Sayreville
Sea Bright

South Amboy

Union Beach
West Long Branch

Towns in the 6th District won by Corzine
Corzine only won the very core of Democrat towns in this district. Not one of these can be considered a toss-up municipality.
Asbury Park
Franklin (Partially in District)
Long Branch
Metuchen
Neptune Township
New Brunswick
Highland Park
Piscataway
Plainfield
Red Bank

Anna Little has a 13 pt lead with independents.

No Governor or Senate race at the top of the ticket will keep turnout low. 

Especially in urban Pallone towns such as New Brunswick, Plainfield, Neptune, Asbury Park and Franklin.

2 polls average out to a 9 pt Pallone lead. 
One gave Pallone a 6 pt lead and the other a 12 pt lead.

Other towns in the area, but not in the 6th District also shed their Democrat-voting history in last year’s election.

East Brunswick
Jamesburg
Monroe
Somerville
South Brunswick
South River
Woodbridge

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