Republicans Likely to Take Over Senate in 2012

WASHINGTON - NOVEMBER 19:  In a break with man...Jeff Flake image by Getty Images via @daylifeReal Clear Politics: 

But the Democrats’ chances of holding the Senate aren’t particularly good. Right now Republicans hold 47 of the 100 seats; if they win the presidency, they would need to pick up three more seats to have a majority. As of today, they are favored to pick up two Democratic seats. Two Republican seats are tossups, along with six Democratic seats. If we assume Democrats pick off one of the two Republican tossups, and that Republican pick off half of the Democratic tossups, Republicans would have a 51-49 majority.

West Virginia: Bill Maloney Closing In, Tomblin Launches Attack Ads

West Virginia State SealImage via WikipediaFrom Campaign Spot on National Review Online:

Earl Ray Tomblin became governor when Joe Manchin was elected to the Senate last year. Tomblin began the race as a heavy favorite against Republican Bill Maloney, but this race is turning out a lot closer than most expected: “Whatever the ad’s effect on voters, the Tomblin ad suggests the race has narrowed and that Tomblin’s once formidable double-digit lead has shrunk. A recent poll suggested Tomblin was leading by only 6 points, though it had nearly a 4 percent margin of error.”

Michigan: Redistricting Map Would Combine Sander Levin & Gary Peters in One District

Sander M. LevinImage via Wikipedia

According to a map released Friday by Senate and House Republicans, Democratic U.S. Reps. Sander Levin of Royal Oak and Gary Peters of Oakland County’s Bloomfield Township would end up in the same district, potentially forcing a runoff. Michigan is losing a congressional seat after seeing its population decline in the 2010 census. Republicans have drawn maps that would allow them to keep the nine districts they hold while shrinking the number of Democratic districts from six to five.
Real Clear Politics

Nevada: Reid Trails Lowden, Tarkanian in Rasmussen Poll

Harry Reid“I must really SUCK!!!” Image via Wikipedia Survey of 500 Likely Voters in NV
September 14, 2009

Election 2010: Nevada Senate Race
Sue Lowden (R) 50%
Harry Reid (D) 40%
Some other candidate 4%
Not sure 5%
Election 2010: Nevada Senate Race
Danny Tarkanian (R) 50%
Harry Reid (D) 43%
Other 4%
Not sure 3%

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