Poll Trend Detected

I have noticed in recent polls, both national and state, that Obama fares better in polls which encourage a large amount of ‘undecided’ declarations. In the polls that do not accept undecideds so easily and push for a response, McCain fares better. This is good news, because it seems that the undecideds are breaking toward him. The bad news is that in most polls, Obama still manages to hold onto about a 4 pt. lead when you average out the national polls.

For example, check this Rasmussen bit out:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Barack Obama attracting 46% of the vote while John McCain earns 40%. When “leaners” are included, Obama leads 49% to 45%. Three percent (3%) say they will vote for a third-party option while 4% remain undecided

So Obama has a 6 pt. lead, but it shrinks by 33% to a 4 pt. lead when leaners are pushed to answer. If the race tightens by just a couple pts, this may become a much more important factor.

PS: There is a poll that came out today from Nanny Bloomberg’s organization that claims Obama is leading by 15 pts. If that were true, McCain would not be leading in as many states as he is.

15 pts. is approaching a Mondale-style blowout, in which he only won 1 state and DC. McCain is ahead in way too many states for this Bloomberg farce to be even close to accurate.

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