New Jersey Redistricting: District 5 Crystal Ball

English: , member of the United States House o...
Scott Garrett via Wikipedia

New Jersey lost one of it’s districts after the census, so it is down from 13 to 12. The 5th district was chosen to be the one that throws two incumbents into direct conflict. Scott Garrett of Sussex County and Steve Rothman of Bergen County now share this district, but Garrett is the one who has the best prospects, because he lost a lot less of his territory compared to Rothman. Blows to Garrett included the loss of the southern 1/3 of Warren County, a small part of Sussex County and Wanaque and Bloomingdale in Passaic County.
However, Rothman lost almost his entire solidly Democrat district, which was largely absorbed into Congressman Bill Pascrell’s old 8th District (the new 9th District). A few holdover towns that may help Rothman are his hometown of Paramus, Hackensack, Bogota, Lodi and a part of Teaneck. Still, this is a Republican district that has an outside chance of going Democrat if it is a good year for the party of Andrew Jackson.

UPDATE: Rothman is now said to be in the process of switching districts, and will challenge Bill Pascrell of the new 9th District. Good news for Republicans and bad news for Democrats. Look for the liberals to try to talk Rothman out of this by dangling an Obama bribe-job in front of his nose.

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