France: Tight Three-Way Race

Which candidate would you support in the first round of the presidential election?

Mar. 10 Mar. 3 Feb. 24
Nicolas Sarkozy 28% 28% 30%
Ségolène Royal 26% 27% 27%
François Bayrou 22% 20% 17%
Jean-Marie Le Pen 13.5% 14% 13%
Marie-George Buffet 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Olivier Besancenot 2% 1.5% 3.5%
Arlette Laguiller 2% 2% 2%
José Bové 1.5% 2% 1.5%
Philippe de Villiers 1.5% 1% 1%
Dominique Voynet 1% 1% 1%
Frédéric Nihous 0.5% 1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 0.5% 0.5%

Run-Off Scenarios Sarkozy v. Royal

Mar. 10 Mar. 3 Feb. 24
Nicolas Sarkozy 52% 52% 50%
Ségolène Royal 48% 48% 50%

Sarkozy v. Bayrou

Mar. 10
François Bayrou 55%
Nicolas Sarkozy 45%

Source: Louis-Harris / RMC
Methodology: Interviews with 1,000 French adults, conducted on Mar. 9 and Mar. 10, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

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