France: Sarkozy Still the One

Among the following candidates, for whom would there be the most chances than you vote with the first turn of the presidential election?

Jan. 31 Jan. 17 Jan. 3
Nicolas Sarkozy 31% 30% 32%
Ségolène Royal 27% 29% 34%
Jean-Marie Le Pen 16% 15% 15%
François Bayrou 12% 9% 6%
Marie-George Buffet 3% 3% 5%
Olivier Besancenot 2% 4% 2%
Dominique Voynet 2% 2% 1%
Arlette Laguiller 2% 3% 3%
Philippe de Villiers 1% 3% 2%
José Bové 1%
Corinne Lepage 1%
Frédéric Nihous 1% 0.5%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 0.5% 1%
Gérard Schivardi 0.5% 0.5%

Run-Off Scenario

Jan. 31 Jan. 17 Jan. 3
Nicolas Sarkozy 53% 52% 48%
Ségolène Royal 47% 48% 52%

Source: CSA / Le Parisien
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 902 French adults, conducted on Jan. 31, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

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