France: Sarkozy Leads by 4 pts.

Who would you vote for in the presidential election?

Mar. 19 Mar. 17 Mar. 9
Nicolas Sarkozy 28% 26% 28%
Ségolène Royal 24% 24% 23%
François Bayrou 21% 22.5% 23%
Jean-Marie Le Pen 14% 14% 13%
Olivier Besancenot 4% 3% 3.5%
Arlette Laguiller 2% 3% 2%
Marie-George Buffet 3% 2% 2%
José Bové 1.5% 2% 1.5%
Dominique Voynet 1% 1.5% 1%
Philippe de Villiers 1% 1.5% 1%
Frédéric Nihous 0.5% 0.5% 1%
Gérard Schivardi 0.5%
Corinne Lepage n.a. n.a. 0.5%

Run-Off Scenarios Sarkozy v. Royal

Mar. 19 Mar. 17 Feb. 23
Nicolas Sarkozy 53% 51.5% 50.5%
Ségolène Royal 47% 48.5% 49.5%

Sarkozy v. Bayrou

Mar. 19 Feb. 15 Jan. 20
François Bayrou 54% 52% 49%
Nicolas Sarkozy 46% 48% 51%

Source: Ifop / Paris Match
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 872 French registered voters, conducted on Mar. 19, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

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