France: Sarkozy Leads by 3; Bayrou Regains Strength

Among the following candidates, who are you most likely to vote for in the first round of the presidential election?

Apr. 12 Apr. 11 Apr. 5
Nicolas Sarkozy 26% 27% 26%
Ségolène Royal 23% 25% 23.5%
François Bayrou 21% 19% 21%
Jean-Marie Le Pen 15% 15% 16%
Olivier Besancenot 4% 3.5% 3.5%
Marie-George Buffet 2.5% 2% 2%
Arlette Laguiller 2% 2% 2%
Frédéric Nihous 2% 1.5% 1.5%
José Bové 1.5% 2% 1.5%
Philippe de Villiers 1.5% 1% 1%
Dominique Voynet 1% 1.5% 1.5%
Gérard Schivardi 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%

Run-Off Scenario

Apr. 12 Apr. 11 Apr. 5
Nicolas Sarkozy 51% 52% 52%
Ségolène Royal 49% 48% 48%

Source: CSA / Le Parisien
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 918 French adults, conducted on Apr. 11 and Apr. 12, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

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