France: Sarkozy Leads; Bayrou Threatens Royal

Who would you vote for in the presidential election?

Mar. 1 Feb. 15 Feb. 1
Nicolas Sarkozy 31% 33% 32%
Ségolène Royal 25.5% 26% 26%
François Bayrou 18.5% 12% 13%
Jean-Marie Le Pen 12% 13% 12.5%
Marie-George Buffet 3.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Olivier Besancenot 3% 3.5% 2.5%
José Bové 2% 3% 4%
Arlette Laguiller 2% 2% 3%
Philippe de Villiers 1% 2.5% 2%
Dominique Voynet 1% 1% 1.5%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 0.5% 1% 0.5%
Corinne Lepage 0.5% 0.5%

Run-off scenario

Mar. 1 Feb. 15 Feb. 1
Nicolas Sarkozy 54% 55% 53%
Ségolène Royal 46% 45% 47%

Source: TNS-Sofres / Unilog
Methodology: Face-to-face interviews with 1,000 French adults, conducted on Feb. 28 and Mar. 1, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

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