France: Sarkozy 26, Royal 24.5, Bayrou 19.5, Le Pen 15

Among the following candidates, who are you most likely to vote for in the first round of the presidential election?

Mar. 29 Mar. 22 Mar. 14
Nicolas Sarkozy 26% 26% 27%
Ségolène Royal 24.5% 26% 26%
François Bayrou 19.5% 21% 21%
Jean-Marie Le Pen 15% 13% 14%
Marie-George Buffet 4% 3% 2%
Olivier Besancenot 3% 3.5% 2%
Arlette Laguiller 2% 2% 2%
José Bové 2% 2% 2%
Philippe de Villiers 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
Dominique Voynet 1% 1% 1%
Frédéric Nihous 1% 0.5% 0.5%
Gérard Schivardi 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%

Run-Off Scenario

Mar. 29 Mar. 22 Mar. 14
Nicolas Sarkozy 52% 50% 53%
Ségolène Royal 48% 50% 47%

Source: CSA / Le Parisien
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 922 French adults, conducted on Mar. 28 and Mar. 29, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

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