Connecticut: Shays May Run Again

Congressman Chris Shays of ConnecticutImage via Wikipedia

Politico is reporting that Republican Christopher Shays may run again for his old congressional seat against Democrat Jim Himes. But is this kind of weak, half-conservative someone who will hire up the base like other candidates have? Probably not, but he may be enough to kick Himes out in a year when just not being a Democrat is a big advantage.

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Indiana: Pence Leads Bayh, Hostettler Trails by 3

Mike Pence, member of the United States House ...Image via Wikipedia

Survey of 800 Likely Voters
January 21 & 24, 2010

Election 2010: Indiana Senate
John Hostettler (R) 41%
Evan Bayh (D) 44%
Some other candidate 3%
Not sure 12%
Election 2010: Indiana Senate
Mike Pence (R) 47%
Evan Bayh (D) 44%
Some other candidate 3%
Not sure 7%
Election 2010: Indiana Senate
Marlin Stutzman (R) 33%
Evan Bayh (D) 45%
Some other candidate 5%
Not sure 16%

Source: Rasmussen Reports

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Indiana: Baron Hill in Trouble

A poll conducted just before Tuesday’s vote in Massachusetts by USA Survey for the Web site firedoglake.com found that, in a head-to-head match-up, Mr. [Mike] Sodrel would beat Mr. [Baron] Hill 49% to 41%, with 10% of the voters undecided.

Wall Street Journal

Scott Brown’s Win Helped by Union Member Revolt

Republican Scott Brown‘s victory in the Massachusetts Senate race was lifted by strong support from union households, in a sign of trouble for President Barack Obama and Democrats who are counting on union support in the 2010 midterm elections.
A poll conducted on behalf of the AFL-CIO found that 49% of Massachusetts union households supported Mr. Brown in Tuesday’s voting, while 46% supported Democrat Martha Coakley. The poll conducted by Hart Research Associates surveyed 810 voters.
The finding, disclosed during an AFL-CIO conference call about the poll, represents a fresh problem for Democrats, who count on union leaders and union members as a pillar of the party’s base.

Wall Street Journal

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Louisiana: Cao May Vote Against Health Care Bill This Time

Official photo of Representative Joseph Cao (R...Image via Wikipedia

The lone Republican who voted for the Democrats’ health care reform bill in November won’t support the final bill if it doesn’t have the same abortion restrictions that passed in the House.
A spokeswoman for Rep. Anh “Joseph” Cao, Louisiana Republican, said Tuesday that the lawmaker is concerned the language in the final bill is going to be closer to what passed the Senate, which he doesn’t support.

Washington Times
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Erroll Southers: Outta Here!!!

Erroll Southers, President Obama’s pick to head the Transportation Security Administration, withdrew today, claiming his nomination had become a lightning rod for those with a political agenda.
The decision was a blow for a White House already under fire by critics for its handling of the attempted Christmas bombing of an American airline.

World Net Daily 

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Italy: Views on Immigrants

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

  Agree Disagree Not sure
Immigrants who play a role in the economic life of a city, after a number of years, must have the right to vote in municipal elections 79.2% 15.4% 5.4%
All immigrants should take a course in Italian and civic values before being regularized 80.2% 18.5% 1.3%
Italian citizenship should be revoked if an immigrant is found to not share our values or commits crimes 76.9% 17.7% 5.4%

Source: Arnaldo Ferrari Nasi
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 Italian adults, conducted on Dec. 9 to Dec. 15, 2009. No margin of error was provided.

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Denmark: Social Democrats & Liberals Tied

Map of Denmark.Image via Wikipedia

What party would you support in the next general election?

  Dec. 2009 Oct. 2009
Social Democracy in Denmark (SD) 24.3% 23.3%
Left, Liberal Party of Denmark (V) 24.1% 24.8%
Socialist People’s Party (SF) 18.4% 18.3%
Danish People’s Party (DF) 14.3% 14.6%
Conservative People’s Party (KF) 10.7% 11.0%
Radical Left-Social Liberal Party (RV) 4.3% 4.3%
Unity List-The Red Greens (EL) 2.4% 2.8%
New Alliance (NA) 1.0% 0.5%
Christian Democrats (KD) 0.4% 0.4%

Source: Megafon / TV2
Methodology: Interviews with 1,587 Dane adults, conducted from Dec. 22 and Dec. 23, 2009. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

 
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Australia: ALP Lead Shrinks

BRISBANE, AUSTRALIA - NOVEMBER 24:  Kevin Rudd...Image by Getty Images via Daylife

If a federal election to the House of Representatives were held today, which one of the following would you vote for? If “Uncommitted”, to which one of these do you have a leaning?

  Jan. 17 Dec. 6 Nov. 29
Australian Labor Party 40% 43% 43%
Coalition (Liberal / National) 38% 38% 35%
Australian Greens 12% 11% 12%
Others 10% 8% 10%

Two-Party Preferred Vote

  Jan. 17 Dec. 6 Nov. 29
Australian Labor Party 54% 56% 57%
Coalition (Liberal / National) 46% 44% 43%

Source: Newspoll / The Australian
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,144 Australian voters, conducted from Jan. 15 to Jan. 17, 2010. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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Rasmussen Says: GOP Generic Ballot Lead at 8

Date Dem GOP
01-17-10 37% 45%
01-10-10 36% 45%
01-03-10 35% 44%
12-27-09 38% 43%
12-20-09 36% 44%
12-13-09 37% 44%
12-06-09 39% 43%
11-29-09 37% 44%
11-22-09 37% 44%
11-15-09 38% 44%
11-08-09 37% 43%

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